Aldershot Town
Altrincham
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Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 16
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Oldham Athletic

Rochdale
3 - 4
Oldham

Keohane (53', 62', 82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sheron (16'), Green (49'), Hope (64'), Norwood (72')
Lundstram (47'), McGahey (88')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-2 Rochdale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawOldham Athletic
38.48% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)25.56% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)35.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73% (0.052 0.05)48.27% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (0.048000000000002 0.05)70.42% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.019000000000005 0.02)24.65% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.023000000000003 0.02)59.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.039000000000001 0.04)26.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (0.052999999999997 0.05)61.1% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 38.48%
    Oldham Athletic 35.95%
    Draw 25.55%
RochdaleDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 35.95%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Oldham
0-0
Rochdale
Hunt (8'), Hart (51'), Piergianni (57')
O'Keeffe (51'), O'Connell (88')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Rochdale
0-1
Oldham

O'Connell (35')
Keillor-Dunn (59')
Whelan (89')
Dec 11, 2018 7pm
Round of 32
Rochdale
2-0
Oldham
Rafferty (90' pen.), Adshead (90')
Rafferty (52'), Perkins (75')

Clarke (52'), Hunt (63')
Maouche (51')
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
Rochdale
0-0
Oldham
Thompson (55')
Fane (39'), Hunt (55'), Edmundson (57'), Haymer (76'), Gardner (80')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Oldham
3-1
Rochdale
Dummigan (2'), Doyle (86')
Gardner (44'), Fane (59'), Placide (74')
Done (16')