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Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Rochdale

Oldham
0 - 0
Rochdale


Hunt (8'), Hart (51'), Piergianni (57')
FT

O'Keeffe (51'), O'Connell (88')

Preview: Oldham Athletic vs. Rochdale - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Saturday's League Two action includes a huge rivalry between Oldham Athletic and Rochdale, with the two neighbours set to do battle at Boundary Park.

The clash is big for other reasons too though, with both sides in the middle of a relegation battle at the foot of the fourth tier.


Match preview

Morecambe's Carlos Mendes Gomes in action with Oldham Athletic's Dylan Fage in League Two on October 20, 2020© Reuters

Oldham finally returned to league action last weekend when they took on Harrogate Town for their first League Two fixture since New Year's Day.

However, it was an unhappy return for the Latics though, as they fell to a 3-0 defeat to extend their winless spell to eight league matches.

The humbling loss was enough to end Selim Benachour's interim spell in charge of the club, with the hierarchy then opting to appoint John Sheridan as permanent manager for a remarkable sixth time including caretaker spells.

It was just the latest controversial moment in a dreadful season of events so far for Saturday's visitors, as all of the trouble off the pitch has contributed to an awful campaign on the pitch as well.

Heading into the weekend rooted to the bottom of the League Two table and seven points from safety already, Sheridan has an incredibly difficult task in steering his side away from an inevitable drop out of the Football League.

In order to attempt a remarkable survival effort, Sheridan and Oldham could not ask for a much better opportunity to get the whole club fired up than their derby clash with rivals Rochdale on Saturday.

Meanwhile, whilst their neighbours find themselves in a desperate situation at the foot of the table, Saturday's visitors Rochdale are not in such a poor state, but are also not clear from danger either.

In fact, the Dale's current position of 18th sets them just five places clear of the drop zone, although they do at least have a nine-point cushion over Scunthorpe United in there.

Manager Robbie Stockdale will be eager to finish the season strongly in order to avoid an uncomfortable finish to the campaign though, and his side will need to improve on their two showings in the New Year so far.

After seeing their four matches over the festive period and New Year postponed, Rochdale have since returned to action with a 2-0 defeat at Tranmere Rovers, before playing out a goalless draw at home to Bradford City last weekend.

As a result, Rochdale have picked up just one win in their last nine fixtures in all competitions, so a defeat to their rivals on Saturday could leave the visitors looking over their shoulders with increased concern in the coming weeks.

Oldham Athletic League Two form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Oldham Athletic form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Rochdale League Two form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Rochdale form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Returning boss Sheridan will do without backup striker Zachary Dearnley on Saturday, with the 23-year-old leaving the club by mutual consent on Thursday.

First-choice goalkeeper Jayson Leutwiler will also be absent, as he will be away on international duty with Canada.

Danny Rogers is set to deputise in between the posts, whilst Alex Hunt will be hoping to make back-to-back starts after making his debut last weekend following his arrival on loan from Sheffield Wednesday.

As for the visitors, new signing Luke Charman will remain absent due to suspension on Saturday, as he awaits his debut for the club.

Josh Andrews is likely to miss out after picking up a potentially serious injury against Bradford last week, whilst Liam Kelly and Aidan White will need to be assessed ahead of the short trip after they too were substituted off due to injuries in the same game.

Matt Done is almost certain to lead the line in the absence of Charman and Andrews, whilst Max Clark should replace White at left wing-back should he miss out.

Oldham Athletic possible starting lineup:
Rogers; Adams, Clarke, Piergianni, Hart; Hunt, Whelan; Vaughan, Keillor-Dunn, Couto; Bahamboula

Rochdale possible starting lineup:
Coleman; Downing, O'Connell, Dorsett; Broadbent, Dooley, Kelly, Clark; Odoh, Done, Grant


SM words green background

We say: Oldham Athletic 1-1 Rochdale

A feel-good factor around Oldham with the return of popular manager Sheridan, as well as his first match being a derby against local rivals Rochdale, means we can see the home side managing to pick up at least a point in this one.

Both sides are in poor form though, and have struggled to score many goals of late, so a nervy but feisty encounter is to be expected with little action in front of goal, and so we are predicting a draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Oldham vs Rochdale

Oldham Athletic
50.0%
Draw
40.9%
Rochdale
9.1%
22
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Luke Matheson scores for Rochdale against Manchester United on September 25, 2019
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