National League | Gameweek 13

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
2 - 2
Southend

Keohane (10'), Mitchell (24')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cardwell (26', 64')
Miley (4'), Bridge (45+5'), Demetriou (56'), Cardwell (67')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 26 at 8pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Southend
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Southend United
39.04% ( -0.04)	25.08% ( 0.01)	35.88% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

-0.04)

46.11% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

-0.04)

68.41% (

0.04)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

-0.04)

23.39% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

-0.06)

57.38% (

0.06)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

25.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.21%

59.78% (

Score Analysis

Rochdale 39.04%

Southend United 35.88%

Draw 25.08%

Rochdale	Draw	Southend United
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.04%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.88%