National League | Gameweek 18

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
2 - 3
Rochdale

Featherstone (45+6'), Dieseruvwe (83')
Wreh (76')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Hayes (3'), Keohane (33'), East (45+2')
(90+6')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Gateshead
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Rochdale
41.44% ( 0.15)	25.83% ( -0.01)	32.72% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.99% (

0.01)

50% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.01% (

0.01)

71.98% (

-0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

0.08)

23.9% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

0.12)

58.1% (

-0.12)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

-0.09)

28.86% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27% (

-0.11)

64.72% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 41.44%

Rochdale 32.72%

Draw 25.82%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.44%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.72%