National League | Gameweek 17

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Shay Stadium

Halifax
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Wright (34'), Senior (48')
Wright (51'), Stott (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dieseruvwe (39')
Dieseruvwe (23'), Crawford (29'), Ferguson (45+2'), Mattock (65'), Lacey (75')

Coverage of the National League clash between Halifax Town and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Halifax Town

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.

Result
Halifax Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
36.84% ( 1.82)	26.4% ( 0.31)	36.75% ( -2.13)

Both teams to score 52.88% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1% (

-1.21)

51.89% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

-1.05)

73.65% (

1.05)

Halifax Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

0.5)

27.26% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31% (

0.65)

62.68% (

-0.65)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

-1.76)

27.31% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24% (

-2.34)

62.75% (

2.34)

Score Analysis

Halifax Town 36.84%

Hartlepool United 36.75%

Draw 26.4%

Halifax Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.84%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.17) Other @ 3% Total : 36.75%