National League | Gameweek 17

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
4 - 2
Maidenhead

Barham (36', 38'), Tolaj (81', 90+6')
Rowe (25'), Haigh (40')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Zimba (15', 22')
Clerima (5'), Adams (65'), Golding (65')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 3-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Maidenhead United
47.85% ( 0.62)	24.6% ( -0.13)	27.55% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 55.36% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

0.25)

47.12% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64% (

0.23)

69.36% (

-0.23)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

0.36)

19.76% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.2% (

0.58)

51.8% (

-0.58)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.24)

31.01% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.28)

67.32% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 47.85%

Maidenhead United 27.55%

Draw 24.59%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Maidenhead United
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.85%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.55%