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National League | Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium
Aldershot Town

Dorking
2 - 1
Aldershot

Prior (8'), Muitt (70')
Moore (45'), Taylor (61'), Prior (75'), Fuller (83'), McManus (90+1'), Male (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harries (63' pen.)
Widdrington (37'), Stokes (90+1')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 2-1 Dorking
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 4-2 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawAldershot Town
37.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)25.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.74% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02)68.05% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.012 -0.01)24.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)58.38% (0.012 0.01)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.033999999999992 0.03)23.98% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.053000000000004 0.05)58.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 37.38%
    Aldershot Town 37.6%
    Draw 25.02%
Dorking WanderersDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 11.74%
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 37.6%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Aldershot
2-0
Dorking
Amaluzor (43'), Glover (88')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Dorking
0-3
Aldershot
Effiong (36'), Cordner (60'), Willard (90')
rhs 2.0


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