National League | Gameweek 19

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
4 - 2
Barnet

Dobra (49'), Grigg (60'), Jacobs (76'), Quigley (86')
Jones (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hooper (90+2', 90+4')
Collinge (45+1'), Brunt (67')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, November 5 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Barnet
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Barnet
45.81% ( 0.02)	23.59% ( -0)	30.6% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.24% (

0.01)

40.76% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.85% (

0.01)

63.15% (

-0.01)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

0.01)

18.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01% (

0.02)

48.99% (

-0.01)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

-0)

25.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41% (

-0.01)

60.58% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 45.81%

Barnet 30.6%

Draw 23.59%

Chesterfield	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.81%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.6%