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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Barnet

Curzon Ashton
0 - 1
Barnet


Spencer (8'), Waring (48'), Kenyon (66'), Matthews (69'), Mason (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kabamba (15')
Stevens (10'), Kanu (57')
Stevens (42')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Curzon Ashton and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Chester
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Barnet

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford City 0-2 Barnet
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 13.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBarnet
13.61%20.29%66.09%
Both teams to score 46.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78%47.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55%69.45%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.18%45.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.42%81.58%
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57%13.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.62%40.38%
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 13.61%
    Barnet 66.09%
    Draw 20.29%
Curzon AshtonDrawBarnet
1-0 @ 4.8%
2-1 @ 3.76%
2-0 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 0.98%
3-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 13.61%
1-1 @ 9.64%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.29%
0-2 @ 12.4%
0-1 @ 12.35%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 8.3%
1-3 @ 6.48%
0-4 @ 4.17%
1-4 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-5 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 66.09%

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