National League | Gameweek 18

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
0 - 2
Barnet

Smith (70')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Stead (28', 28', 33')
Wynter (32')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Oxford City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Solihull
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Barnet
21.84% ( -0.25)	21.82% ( 0.03)	56.34% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 58.45% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.86% (

-0.47)

40.14% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.49% (

-0.49)

62.5% (

0.49)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06% (

-0.49)

31.94% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

-0.56)

68.39% (

0.56)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88% (

-0.09)

14.12% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.24% (

-0.18)

41.76% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 21.84%

Barnet 56.34%

Draw 21.82%

Oxford City	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 21.84%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.82%	1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.34%