Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
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Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Wealdstone
National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
3 - 1
Oxford City

Smith (33'), Bowen (48', 57')
Cook (28'), Charles (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parker (29')
Coverage of the National League clash between Wealdstone and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in National League

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Bromley 3-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawOxford City
43.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 58.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.03%
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 43.41%
    Oxford City 32%
    Draw 24.58%
WealdstoneDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32%