Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Fylde |
| 34.88% ( | 23.41% ( | 41.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.68% ( | 38.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.4% ( | 60.59% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( | 22.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( | 55.36% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( | 18.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( | 50.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0-4 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 41.7% |