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National League | Gameweek 15
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
AFC Fylde

Oxford City
3 - 0
Fylde

Parker (30' pen.), Sanderson (81', 85')
Potter (58'), McEachran (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khumbeni (12'), Davis (83')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 2-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Fylde
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawFylde
34.88% (-0.213 -0.21)23.41% (0.036999999999999 0.04)41.7% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 63.32% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.68% (-0.229 -0.23)38.31% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (-0.244 -0.24)60.59% (0.241 0.24)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.217 -0.22)22.03% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.33 -0.33)55.36% (0.329 0.33)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)50.2% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 34.88%
    Fylde 41.7%
    Draw 23.4%
Oxford CityDrawFylde
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.88%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 41.7%

rhs 2.0


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