National League | Gameweek 14

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 0
Oxford City

Cardwell (31'), Wood (38')
Husin (77'), Taylor (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Parker (55'), Burley (90+6')

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Southend
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Altrincham
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Oxford City
56.5% ( 0.38)	22.7% ( -0.14)	20.79% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.59% (

0.29)

45.41% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.26% (

0.27)

67.74% (

-0.28)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13% (

0.23)

15.86% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93% (

0.42)

45.07% (

-0.43)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.09% (

-0.08)

35.91% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.31% (

-0.08)

72.69% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Southend United 56.5%

Oxford City 20.8%

Draw 22.7%

Southend United	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.5%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.8%