National League Gameweek 14
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Harry Cardwell 31' goal
  • Jack Wood 38' goal
  • Noor Husin 77' yellowcard
  • Harry Taylor 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Parker 55'
  • yellowcard Andre Burley 90'+6'

Southend United vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Rochdale 2 - 2 Southend
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Harry Cardwell

Oxford City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Oxford City 1 - 2 Altrincham
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result

Southend United 56.5% (+0.38)
Draw 22.7% (-0.14)
Oxford City 20.79% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.92% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.59% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 45.41% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 32.26% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 67.74% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 16.26% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 83.74% (-0.20)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 84.13% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 15.86% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 54.93% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 45.07% (-0.43)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 64.09% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 35.91% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.31% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.69% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Southend United 56.5%
Draw 22.7%
Oxford City 20.8%
Southend United
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.66% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.07% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 5.93% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.79% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.73% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1% (-96.70)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 56.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.7%
Oxford City
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.8%