Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 30.59% ( | 26.02% ( | 43.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.48% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( | 73.32% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( | 31.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% ( | 67.38% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.38% |