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Southend United
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Southend United
National League | Gameweek 17
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium
Ebbsfleet United

Southend
3 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Coker (25'), Scott-Morriss (53'), Wood (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clifford (40'), Domi (56'), Chapman (67')
Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 5-0 Solihull
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
61.03% (-2.183 -2.18)21.29% (0.73 0.73)17.69% (1.453 1.45)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.63 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)43.78% (0.688 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-0.677 -0.68)66.17% (0.676 0.68)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.869 -0.87)13.86% (0.868 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.74% (-1.742 -1.74)41.26% (1.743 1.74)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (1.341 1.34)38.3% (-1.342 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (1.267 1.27)75.06% (-1.265 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 61.02%
    Ebbsfleet 17.69%
    Draw 21.28%
Southend UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.83% (-0.469 -0.47)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.349 -0.35)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.186 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 61.02%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.333 0.33)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.329 0.33)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.331 0.33)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 17.69%

rhs 2.0


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