National League | Gameweek 16

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 1
Ebbsfleet

Davis (57')
Barrett (68'), Conway (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Poleon (26')
Amoo (56')
Cisse (63')

Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 3-0 Fylde
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 Halifax
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Ebbsfleet
44.59% ( -2.17)	23.39% ( 0.56)	32.02% ( 1.61)

Both teams to score 62.39% (

-1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.9% (

-1.92)

39.1% (

1.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

-2.04)

61.43% (

2.05)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.1% (

-1.58)

17.9% (

1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.3% (

-2.8)

48.7% (

2.81)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

0.03)

24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75% (

0.04)

58.25% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Fylde 44.59%

Ebbsfleet 32.02%

Draw 23.38%

Fylde	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.59%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.02%