FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 0
West Ham

Conway (3')
Williams (50'), Gardner-Hickman (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cresswell (64')
Benrahma (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	West Ham United
47.07% ( 0.09)	23.04% ( 0)	29.88% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.46% (

-0.08)

38.54% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.16% (

-0.08)

60.83% (

0.08)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.28% (

0.01)

16.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.37% (

0.01)

46.62% (

-0.01)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

-0.1)

25.02% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3% (

-0.14)

59.69% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 47.07%

West Ham United 29.88%

Draw 23.04%

Bristol City	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 4.31% Total : 47.07%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.04%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.88%