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Championship | Gameweek 1
Jan 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Watford logo

QPR
1 - 2
Watford

Dykes (77')
Field (5'), Paal (23'), Colback (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Livermore (60', 65')
Livermore (20'), Hoedt (45'), Dele-Bashiru (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
29.76% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)26.1% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)44.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (0.059000000000005 0.06)52.2% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.020999999999997 0.02)68.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.037999999999997 0.04)23.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.055999999999997 0.06)57.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 29.76%
    Watford 44.13%
    Draw 26.1%
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.76%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.88%
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.13%

How you voted: QPR vs Watford

Queens Park Rangers
24.2%
Draw
15.2%
Watford
60.6%
33
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Watford
4-0
QPR
Dele-Bashiru (1'), Louza (20'), Martins (38'), Issouf Bayo (43')
Morris (45+1')

Armstrong (67'), Field (76')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
QPR
1-0
Watford
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
2-3
QPR

Kamara (84'), Kabasele (90')
Adomah (70')
Dieng (81'), Dozzell (85')
Feb 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Watford
1-2
QPR
Deeney (52' pen.)
Sierralta (54'), Navarro (90+4')
Austin (73'), Adomah (90')
Wallace (34')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
QPR
1-1
Watford
Chair (77')
Dykes (90+1')
Wilmot (3')
Sema (59'), Cathcart (85')