Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.