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UEFA Conference League

Ajax
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Aston Villa logo

Ajax
0 - 0
Aston Villa


Mannsverk (24'), Gooijer (68')
FT

Konsa (25'), Cash (64'), Zaniolo (76')
Konsa (83')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa hold Dutch giants Ajax to a goalless draw in the Europa Conference League, with both sides having men sent off in the closing stages of the last-16 clash.

Team News

Tim Iroegbunam is named in the Aston Villa XI for the first leg of their Europa Conference League last-16 tie at Ajax on Thursday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Ajax and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, March 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Aston Villa

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawAston Villa
42.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)34.26% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.23% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.64% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)38.36% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.36% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)60.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)18.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)49.77% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)22.39% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)55.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 42.35%
    Aston Villa 34.26%
    Draw 23.39%
AjaxDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.26%

How you voted: Ajax vs Aston Villa

Ajax
23.0%
Draw
18.3%
Aston Villa
58.7%
252