Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 2
Nijmegen

Brobbey (7'), Borges (79')
Brobbey (67'), Hlynsson (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hato (61' og.), Rober (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Nijmegen
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 15.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	NEC
67.64% ( 1.5)	16.92%	15.44% ( -1.5)

Both teams to score 64.51% (

-3.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.05% (

-3.13)

26.95% (

3.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.58% (

-4.07)

47.42% (

4.07)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.6% (

-0.51)

7.4% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.32% (

-1.36)

26.68% (

1.36)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67% (

-3.72)

30.33% (

3.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49% (

-4.68)

66.51% (

4.69)

Score Analysis

Ajax 67.64%

NEC 15.44%

Draw 16.92%

Ajax	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 1.05) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.75) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.94) 4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.37) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.24) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.3) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.62% Total : 67.64%	1-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.39) Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.92%	1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 15.44%