KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals

Feb 6, 2024 at 7pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
3 - 0
ADO Den Haag

Ogawa (2'), Proper (61'), Chery (67')
Hansen (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Che (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between NEC and ADO Den Haag, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 Heracles
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

ADO Den Haag

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Oss 1-3 ADO Den Haag
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 1-0 (5.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	ADO Den Haag
48.91% ( 0.62)	21.61% ( -0.14)	29.48% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 67.56% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.28% (

0.42)

31.72% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.77% (

0.5)

53.23% (

-0.49)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46% (

0.36)

13.54% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.38% (

0.71)

40.62% (

-0.7)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.06)

21.86% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.91% (

-0.09)

55.09% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

NEC 48.91%

ADO Den Haag 29.48%

Draw 21.61%

NEC	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.91%	1-1 @ 9% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.48%