MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 02:15:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Heracles Almelo

Nijmegen
3 - 1
Heracles

Ogawa (51' pen., 59'), Chery (66')
Meijer (0'), Sow (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hornkamp (3')
Sonnenberg (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Heracles

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 3-1 Heracles

 Heracles have conceded the most goals of any Eredivisie team this season, and we can see them enduring another defensive collapse here en route to a disappointing defeat in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for NEC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for NEC.

Result
NECDrawHeracles
50.87% (1.332 1.33) 21.83% (-0.365 -0.37) 27.29% (-0.974 -0.97)
Both teams to score 64.9% (0.512 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54% (1.02 1.02)34.46% (-1.025 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.61% (1.137 1.14)56.38% (-1.141 -1.14)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (0.803 0.8)13.89% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68% (1.564 1.56)41.32% (-1.569 -1.57)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)24.62% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.155 -0.16)59.13% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    NEC 50.87%
    Heracles 27.29%
    Draw 21.83%
NECDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.75% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.178 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.134 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.119 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.102 0.1)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.29%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heracles

NEC
86.4%
Draw
9.1%
Heracles
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Heracles
2-1
Nijmegen
Hansson (61'), Ouahim (74')
Bruns (32'), Engels (90+6')
Ogawa (24')
Baas (28'), Marques (90+6')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Nijmegen
0-0
Heracles
Tavsan (45+1')
Quagliata (81'), Knoester (85')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Heracles
0-1
Nijmegen

Bakis (27'), de la Torre (76'), Fadiga (77'), Blaswich (77'), Knoester (87')
Bakis (41')
Akman (50')
Marquez Alvarez (41'), Okita (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2017 3.45pm
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Von Haacke (27', 33'), Golla (69')
Fomitschow (14')
Armenteros (14')
Kuwas (43')
Dec 2, 2016 7pm
Heracles
2-0
Nijmegen
Duarte (37'), Armenteros (83')
Bruns (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!