Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
0 - 1
Sparta

Ouahim (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kitolano (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 0-5 Heracles
Sunday, November 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
33.81% ( 0.34)	24.97% ( -0.02)	41.21% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

0.18)

45.96% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73% (

0.17)

68.27% (

-0.18)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.29)

26.22% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

0.39)

61.32% (

-0.4)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-0.07)

22.25% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

-0.11)

55.69% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Heracles 33.81%

Sparta Rotterdam 41.21%

Draw 24.97%

Heracles	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.81%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.21%