Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.