Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.