Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.