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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 52.35% ( | 22.45% ( | 25.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.69% ( | 39.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.36% ( | 61.64% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( | 15.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( | 43.7% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( | 28.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( | 64.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.35% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 25.2% |