Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.