MX23RW : Tuesday, March 5 15:07:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Ajax
Nijmegen
1 - 2
Ajax
Tavsan (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Marseille 4-3 Ajax
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: NEC 1-4 Ajax

Given the consistency that NEC have shown in avoiding defeat of late, this may not be one-way traffic. Nevertheless, Ajax have started to score a hatful of goals and we can only see the visitors ultimately prevailing by a wide margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 3-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
NECDrawAjax
45.49% (3.844 3.84) 20.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 33.74% (-3.83 -3.83)
Both teams to score 73.28% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.73% (-0.89200000000001 -0.89)25.27% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.73% (-1.168 -1.17)45.27% (1.166 1.17)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (0.872 0.87)12.21% (-0.874 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.1% (1.803 1.8)37.9% (-1.803 -1.8)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-1.984 -1.98)16.52% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-3.695 -3.7)46.27% (3.694 3.69)
Score Analysis
    NEC 45.49%
    Ajax 33.74%
    Draw 20.77%
NECDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.487 0.49)
3-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.527 0.53)
1-0 @ 4.24% (0.374 0.37)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.459 0.46)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.345 0.35)
4-2 @ 2.66% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.287 0.29)
4-3 @ 1.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.181 0.18)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 7.64% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 7.23% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 3.04% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.02% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.34% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.496 -0.5)
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-4 @ 1.37% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
1-0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Klaassen (38')
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Breinburg (5' og.), Neres (8'), Traore (32', 60'), Ziyech (78')
van de Beek (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV24213079136666
2Feyenoord24175260194156
3FC Twente24155447232450
4AZ AlkmaarAZ24127545232243
5Ajax24116753431039
6Go Ahead Eagles2410773832637
7NECNijmegen249964839936
8FC UtrechtUtrecht248882932-332
9Heerenveen2494114044-431
10Sparta RotterdamSparta2486103034-430
11Fortuna SittardSittard2486102841-1330
12Almere CityAlmere City2477102441-1728
13PEC Zwolle2476113243-1127
14Heracles2465133155-2423
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior2449113852-1421
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2453162041-2118
17Vitesse2444161949-3016
18FC VolendamVolendam2434172562-3713

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!