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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.49%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 19.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-3 (7.33%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 19.27% ( | 19.24% ( | 61.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.59% ( | 31.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.13% ( | 52.87% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( | 29.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( | 65.18% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.04% ( | 9.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.07% ( | 32.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.08% ( 1-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 3-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 19.27% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.24% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 1-3 @ 7.33% ( 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0-3 @ 5.95% ( 2-3 @ 4.51% ( 1-4 @ 4.22% ( 0-4 @ 3.43% ( 2-4 @ 2.6% ( 1-5 @ 1.95% ( 0-5 @ 1.58% ( 2-5 @ 1.2% ( 3-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 61.49% |