Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.49%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 19.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-3 (7.33%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.