AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
GelreDome
Heracles Almelo

Vitesse
2 - 0
Heracles

de Regt (20'), Boutrah (73')
Room (31'), Tielemans (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoogma (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawHeracles
51.6% (-0.122 -0.12)23% (0.065000000000001 0.07)25.41% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.81% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (-0.239 -0.24)41.67% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.93% (-0.242 -0.24)64.08% (0.245 0.25)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.13 -0.13)16.24% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-0.238 -0.24)45.76% (0.241 0.24)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)29.79% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)65.86% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 51.6%
    Heracles 25.41%
    Draw 22.99%
VitesseDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.6%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 25.41%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Heracles

Vitesse
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Heracles
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Heracles
0-0
Vitesse
Lunding (65'), Quagliata (85')
Buitink (16'), Domgjoni (20'), Bero (75')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Vitesse
2-1
Heracles
Openda (31', 49' pen.)
Manhoef (56'), Buitink (72')
Laursen (22')
de la Torre (48'), Schoofs (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Heracles
0-2
Vitesse

Bakis (27'), Kiomourtzoglou (52'), Lunding (90+1')
Propper (38' og.), Bero (83')
Bruns (14')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Vitesse
3-0
Heracles
Openda (34'), Darfalou (37'), Tannane (63')
Tannane (31'), Bero (33')

Bijleveld (36')
May 3, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Vitesse
P-P
Heracles