/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
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Kaj Sierhuis
1'
-
Kaj Sierhuis
23'
-
Tijanni Noslin
47'
-
Mitchell Dijks
45'+2'
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Melle Meulensteen
31'
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Melle Meulensteen
49'
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Million Manhoef
64'
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Alois Oroz
76'
Fortuna Sittard vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result
Fortuna Sittard
47.73%
▼
(-1.02)
Draw
23.55%
▲
(+0.25)
Vitesse
28.72%
▲
(+0.77)
Both Teams to Score:
59.82%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.36%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 2.5
41.64%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 3.5
35.96%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 3.5
64.04%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 4.5
18.98%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 4.5
81.01%
▲
(+0.51)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
82.34%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
17.66%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
51.72%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 1.5
48.28%
▲
(+1.11)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
72.65%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
27.35%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
37.19%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
62.8%
▼
(-0.26)
Score analysis
Fortuna Sittard
47.73%
Draw
23.54%
Vitesse
28.72%
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
@
9.41%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 47.73%
1-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 47.73%
Draw
1-1
@
10.85%
▲
(+0.16)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.54%
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.54%
Vitesse
1-2
@
7.04%
▲
(+0.14)
0-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 28.72%