Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2023 at 7pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
3 - 1
Vitesse

Sierhuis (1', 23'), Noslin (47')
Dijks (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Manhoef (64')
Meulensteen (31'), Oroz (76')
Meulensteen (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 5-0 Vitesse
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Vitesse
47.73% ( -1.01)	23.55% ( 0.25)	28.72% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.36% (

-0.66)

41.64% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.96% (

-0.66)

64.04% (

0.66)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.34% (

-0.64)

17.66% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.72% (

-1.11)

48.28% (

1.11)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65% (

0.19)

27.35% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19% (

0.25)

62.8% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 47.73%

Vitesse 28.72%

Draw 23.54%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.81% Total : 47.73%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.72%