Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 84.89%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 4-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.