Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
3 - 0
Volendam

van Bommel (5'), Pavlidis (48'), Martins Indi (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 AZ
Sunday, November 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 7.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Volendam
79.51% ( -0.04)	12.9% ( 0.01)	7.59% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.21% (

0.1)

29.79% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.06% (

0.12)

50.94% (

-0.12)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.15% (

0.02)

5.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.54% (

0.04)

22.45% (

-0.03)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.56% (

0.16)

45.44% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.71% (

0.13)

81.28% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 79.5%

FC Volendam 7.59%

Draw 12.9%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Volendam
2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.38% Total : 79.5%	1-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 12.9%	1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 7.59%