Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.