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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
| 55.4% ( | 22.49% ( | 22.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.13% ( | 42.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.73% ( | 65.27% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( | 15.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( | 44.12% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( | 33.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% ( | 69.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 5-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.1% |