/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
-
Dirk Proper
16'
-
Magnus Mattsson
33'
-
Elayis Tavsan
42'
-
Koki Ogawa
45'+2'
-
Mees Hoedemakers
49'
-
Magnus Mattsson
70'
-
Sontje Hansen
75'
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Lasse Schone
86'
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Tijanni Noslin
24'
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Rodrigo Guth
53'
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Kaj Sierhuis
69'
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Ivo Pinto
83'
NEC vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result
NEC
52.01%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
22.55%
▼
(-0.10)
Fortuna Sittard
25.43%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
60.39%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.4%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 2.5
39.59%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 3.5
38.05%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 3.5
61.94%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 4.5
20.6%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 4.5
79.4%
▼
(-0.24)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
84.65%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
15.35%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
55.89%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
44.11%
▼
(-0.36)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
71.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
28.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
35.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
64.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
NEC
52.01%
Draw
22.55%
Fortuna Sittard
25.43%
NEC
2-1
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.01%
1-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.01%
Draw
1-1
@
10.3%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.55%
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.55%
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
@
6.44%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.43%