Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sittard1 - 0RKC Waalwijk
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-3 Ajax
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
With both of these bottom-half teams having collected points recently, this feels like an evenly-matched contest. However, we have to back the home side to come through this encounter given their recent two home showings, albeit perhaps by a smaller margin than in those fixtures. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.88% ( -0.42) | 23.54% ( 0.11) | 26.58% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
