Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Mandemakers Stadion
  • Yassin Oukili 21' goal
  • Yassin Oukili 60' goal
  • goal Dario van den Buijs 74' (OG)
  • goal Julian Baas 80'

RKC Waalwijk vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 8.00pm
PEC Zwolle 1 - 2 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
David Min

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.30pm
Excelsior 2 - 4 Feyenoord
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

RKC Waalwijk 31.52% (+0.06)
Draw 23.65% (+0.01)
SBV Excelsior 44.82% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.17% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 40.6% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.01% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 62.98% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.79% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.2% (-0.02)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5 74.97% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.02% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 40.3% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 59.69% (-0.07)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 81.59% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 18.41% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.43% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.56% (+0.03)

Score analysis

RKC Waalwijk 31.52%
Draw 23.65%
SBV Excelsior 44.82%
RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 7.48% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.45% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.65%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 44.82%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Shawn Adewoye 38' goal
  • Pelle Clement 50' goal
  • Thierry Lutonda 60' goal
  • Vurnon Anita 80' goal
  • Michiel Kramer 90'+1' goal
  • goal Julian Baas 15'
  • goal Redouan El Yaakoubi 43'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elias Omarsson 49' goal
  • Herve Matthys 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 35'
  • yellowcard Emil Hansson 35'
  • goal Stijn Spierings 38'
  • redcard Stijn Spierings 70'
  • yellowcard Etienne Vaessen 89'
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jurien Gaari 37' yellowcard
  • Mario Bilate 53' goal
  • Jurien Gaari 81' goal
  • Hans Mulder 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Koolwijk 40'
  • goal Jeffry Fortes 71'