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Excelsior
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Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 2
Excelsior

Oukili (21', 60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van den Buijs (74' og.), Baas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 2-4 Feyenoord
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
31.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)23.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)44.82% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.17% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.6% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01% (0.012 0.01)62.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.059000000000005 0.06)59.69% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)49.56% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 31.52%
    SBV Excelsior 44.82%
    Draw 23.65%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.52%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 44.82%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
SBV Excelsior
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Excelsior
0-0
RKC Waalwijk
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
RKC Waalwijk
5-2
Excelsior
Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
> Preview
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
Second Round
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Excelsior
Bilate (53'), Gaari (81')
Gaari (37'), Mulder (88')
Fortes (71')
Koolwijk (40')