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Ajax
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Go Ahead Eagles
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Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 2
Excelsior
Oukili (21', 60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van den Buijs (74' og.), Baas (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-4 Feyenoord
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk are yet to draw a game this season, but that could end on Saturday, as they welcome an Excelsior side with more stalemates (six) than any side in the Eredivisie. A tie extends the home side's undefeated run against this weekend's opponents to five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
31.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 23.65% (0.0019999999999989 0) 44.82% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.17% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.6% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01% (0.012 0.01)62.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.059000000000005 0.06)59.69% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)49.56% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 31.52%
    SBV Excelsior 44.82%
    Draw 23.65%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.52%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 44.82%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
SBV Excelsior
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
RKC Waalwijk
5-2
Excelsior
Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
Second Round
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Excelsior
Bilate (53'), Gaari (81')
Gaari (37'), Mulder (88')
Fortes (71')
Koolwijk (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23212077116665
2Feyenoord23174258174155
3FC Twente23145445222347
4AZ AlkmaarAZ23126544222242
5Ajax2310675143836
6Go Ahead Eagles239773732534
7NECNijmegen238964337633
8FC UtrechtUtrecht238872930-132
9Sparta RotterdamSparta2385102933-429
10Heerenveen2384113844-628
11PEC Zwolle2376103241-927
12Fortuna SittardSittard2376102339-1627
13Almere CityAlmere City2376102239-1727
14Heracles2364132953-2422
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior2349103647-1121
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2353152040-2018
17Vitesse2344151847-2916
18FC VolendamVolendam2334162357-3413

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