AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Heracles Almelo

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 2
Heracles

Kramer (53' pen.)
van den Buijs (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hansson (35' pen.), Engels (59')
Sankoh (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Heracles
Sunday, January 7 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heracles in this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawHeracles
32.18% (-3.183 -3.18)23.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)44.06% (3.194 3.19)
Both teams to score 61.1% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18% (-0.855 -0.86)40.81% (0.848 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (-0.879 -0.88)63.2% (0.872 0.87)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-2.196 -2.2)24.73% (2.19 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-3.167 -3.17)59.28% (3.16 3.16)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (1.032 1.03)18.81% (-1.038 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (1.699 1.7)50.24% (-1.705 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 32.18%
    Heracles 44.06%
    Draw 23.75%
RKC WaalwijkDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.443 -0.44)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.455 -0.46)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.352 -0.35)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.357 0.36)
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.538 0.54)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.643 0.64)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.355 0.36)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.463 0.46)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.211 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.235 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Heracles

RKC Waalwijk
57.7%
Draw
23.1%
Heracles
19.2%
26
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
RKC Waalwijk
2-0
Heracles
Kramer (20'), Van der Venne (59')
Oukili (76'), Touba (90+1')
Sep 26, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
Heracles
1-0
RKC Waalwijk
Burgzorg (59')

Gaari (23')
Feb 21, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Heracles
John (11'), Daneels (23'), Van der Venne (75')
Touba (35')

Vloet (70'), Fadiga (88')
Oct 17, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
0-1
RKC Waalwijk

Propper (65')
Bakari (26')
Sow (42')
Mar 8, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Heracles
4-2
RKC Waalwijk
Van den Buijs (30'), Van der Water (34', 53'), Burgzorg (66')
van den Buijs (14'), Rossmann (59')
Leemans (16' pen.), Tahiri (28')
Meulensteen (41'), Gaari (64'), Delcroix (73')