Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.