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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PSV

AZ
0 - 4
PSV


van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
FT(HT: 0-3)
de Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Legia 2-0 AZ
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

 Jansen will be eager for his players to record a statement result, one which will help ease any pressure on his shoulders. Nevertheless, we cannot back against a rampant PSV who we feel will thoroughly outclass one of their rivals for the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
50.89% (1.972 1.97) 22.22% (-0.553 -0.55) 26.89% (-1.415 -1.42)
Both teams to score 63.08% (0.79799999999999 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.3% (1.569 1.57)36.69% (-1.565 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.14% (1.686 1.69)58.86% (-1.683 -1.68)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (1.254 1.25)14.69% (-1.25 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (2.35 2.35)42.86% (-2.346 -2.35)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.152 -0.15)26.06% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.204 -0.2)61.11% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 50.89%
    PSV Eindhoven 26.89%
    Draw 22.22%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.298 0.3)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.183 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.261 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.202 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.167 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.429 -0.43)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: AZ vs PSV

AZ Alkmaar
23.8%
Draw
4.8%
PSV Eindhoven
71.4%
21
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
2-0
PSV
Karlsson (4'), Koopmeiners (68')

Sangare (73')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462
> Eredivisie Full Table


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