/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
-
Ruben van Bommel
45'+1'
-
Kenzo Goudmijn
77'
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Luuk de Jong
9'
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Ismael Saibari
11'
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Sergino Dest
16'
-
Luuk de Jong
57'
AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fpeter-bosz.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
50.89%
▲
(+1.98)
Draw
22.22%
▼
(-0.56)
PSV Eindhoven
26.89%
▼
(-1.42)
Both Teams to Score:
63.08%
▲
(+0.80)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.3%
▲
(+1.57)
Under 2.5
36.69%
▼
(-1.57)
Over 3.5
41.14%
▲
(+1.69)
Under 3.5
58.86%
▼
(-1.69)
Over 4.5
23.07%
▲
(+1.37)
Under 4.5
76.93%
▼
(-1.36)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
85.31%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 0.5
14.69%
▼
(-1.25)
Over 1.5
57.14%
▲
(+2.36)
Under 1.5
42.86%
▼
(-2.35)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
73.93%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
26.06%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
38.89%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
61.11%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
50.89%
Draw
22.22%
PSV Eindhoven
26.89%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.47%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.27)
4-0 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.17)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-95.99)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 50.89%
1-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.27)
4-0 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.17)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-95.99)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 50.89%
Draw
1-1
@
9.87%
▼
(-0.37)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.22%
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.22%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2
@
6.64%
▼
(-0.28)
0-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.31)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1% ▲ (+98.95)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.31)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1% ▲ (+98.95)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 26.89%