Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
0 - 4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')

FT(HT: 0-3)

de Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Legia 2-0 AZ
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
50.89% ( 1.97)	22.22% ( -0.55)	26.89% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 63.08% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.3% (

1.57)

36.69% (

-1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.14% (

1.69)

58.86% (

-1.68)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

1.25)

14.69% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.14% (

2.35)

42.86% (

-2.35)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-0.15)

26.06% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

-0.2)

61.11% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 50.89%

PSV Eindhoven 26.89%

Draw 22.22%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) Other @ 4.28% Total : 50.89%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.89%