Conference League
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-
Yuri Ribeiro
34'
-
Blaz Kramer
81'
-
Bruno Martins Indi
53'
Legia Warsaw vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
Result
Legia Warsaw
39.56%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
24.61%
▲
(+0.03)
AZ Alkmaar
35.83%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
59.06%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.06%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
43.94%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
33.68%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
66.32%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
17.29%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
82.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5
77.83%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
22.17%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
44.43%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
55.58%
▲
(+0.15)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
75.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
24.11%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
41.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
58.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Legia Warsaw
39.56%
Draw
24.61%
AZ Alkmaar
35.83%
Legia Warsaw
2-1
@
8.63%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.56%
1-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.56%
Draw
1-1
@
11.45%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.61%
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.61%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
8.15%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.83%
0-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.83%
