Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • goal Rafal Augustyniak 2'
  • goal Radovan Pankov 4'
  • goal Josue Pesqueira 64'
  • yellowcard Juergen Elitim 81'

Zaglebie Lubin vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 24, 2023 5.00pm
LKS Lodz 0 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Dawid Kurminowski

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 7.00pm
Legia 2 - 2 Warta Poznan
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Josue Pesqueira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result

Zaglebie Lubin 36.01% (+0.91)
Draw 26.3% (+0.19)
Legia Warsaw 37.68% (-1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.21% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.53% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 51.46% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 26.72% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 73.27% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 12.47% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 87.53% (+0.43)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5 72.46% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 27.53% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 36.95% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 63.05% (-0.25)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 73.43% (-0.96)
Under 0.5 26.57% (+0.95)
Over 1.5 38.21% (-1.28)
Under 1.5 61.78% (+1.28)

Score analysis

Zaglebie Lubin 36.01%
Draw 26.29%
Legia Warsaw 37.68%
Zaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.06% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.08% (+0.24)
3-1 @ 3.47% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.32% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 9.7% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 37.68%