Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Wdowiak (60')
Dioudis (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rondic (90+9')
Cigaņiks (22'), Milos (90+14')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 5-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Warta Poznan
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawWidzew Lodz
41.03% (-0.238 -0.24)26.06% (0.138 0.14)32.9% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.419 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (-0.553 -0.55)50.94% (0.552 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (-0.486 -0.49)72.81% (0.486 0.49)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.369 -0.37)24.52% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (-0.521 -0.52)58.99% (0.52 0.52)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.208 -0.21)29.21% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-0.256 -0.26)65.16% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 41.03%
    Widzew Lodz 32.9%
    Draw 26.06%
Zaglebie LubinDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.9%

rhs 2.0


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