Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 1
AZ

Jensen (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pavlidis (40')
Moller Wolfe (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, November 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
37.12% ( 0.43)	25.09% ( 0.1)	37.79% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

-0.44)

46.08% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

-0.42)

68.38% (

0.42)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

0.03)

24.39% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

0.04)

58.81% (

-0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97% (

-0.47)

24.03% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7% (

-0.68)

58.3% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 37.12%

AZ Alkmaar 37.79%

Draw 25.09%

FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.12%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.79%