Conference League
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 59' goal
  • Alexandre Penetra 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matija Malekinusic 60'

AZ Alkmaar vs Zrinjski Mostar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 8.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 1 AZ

Zrinjski Mostar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 9, 2023 5.45pm
Legia 2 - 0 Zrinjski Mostar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 8.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 3-0 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Zrinjski Mostar win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 74.66% (+0.04)
Draw 16.45% (+0.04)
Zrinjski Mostar 8.89% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.46% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.03% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 42.97% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 34.63% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 65.38% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 17.99% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 82.01% (+0.25)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 90.1% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 9.9% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 67.2% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 32.8% (+0.18)

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5 48.23% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 51.77% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 14.15% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 85.85% (+0.23)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 74.64%
Draw 16.45%
Zrinjski Mostar 8.89%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 13.7% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 11.85% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 10.56% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.11% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.02% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 74.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.45%
Zrinjski Mostar
0-1 @ 3.38% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 8.89%

Head to Head

Conference League
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
4
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
  • Slobodan Jakovljevic 42' yellowcard
  • Zvonimir Kozulj 48' goal
  • Josip Corluka 68' goal
  • Aldin Hrvanovic 71' goal
  • Aldin Hrvanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Zvonimir Kozulj 81' goal
  • Zvonimir Kozulj 83' yellowcard
  • Filip Bradaric 90' yellowcard
  • Krunoslav Rendulic 82'+82' yellowcard
  • goal Myron van Brederode 10'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 32'
  • goal Dani de Wit 44'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 90'