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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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Excelsior
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Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ
4 - 1
Almere City
Pavlidis (7', 90+2'), de Wit (66'), Moller Wolfe (80')
Moller Wolfe (88'), Clasie (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mbe Soh (56')
van Bruggen (23'), Jacobs (64'), Resink (73'), Kitala (81'), Floranus (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Almere City

AZ Alkmaar hit a bump in the road last time out, but we can see them serving up an immediate response with a comfortable win this time around, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
80.65% (-0.155 -0.16) 12.99% (0.131 0.13) 6.37% (0.0261 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)35.88% (0.575 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.03% (-0.634 -0.63)57.97% (0.637 0.64)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.11% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)6.89% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.68% (-0.408 -0.41)25.33% (0.412 0.41)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.63% (-0.342 -0.34)53.37% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.12% (-0.216 -0.22)86.88% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 80.64%
    Almere City 6.37%
    Draw 12.99%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
2-0 @ 13.15% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 11.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 80.64%
1-1 @ 6.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 12.99%
0-1 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 6.37%

How you voted: AZ vs Almere City

AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Almere City
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23212077116665
2Feyenoord22164256173952
3FC Twente22135442222044
4AZ AlkmaarAZ22116542222039
5Ajax22106651411036
6Go Ahead Eagles229763729834
7NECNijmegen238964337633
8FC UtrechtUtrecht238872930-132
9Sparta RotterdamSparta2385102933-429
10PEC Zwolle2376103241-927
11Almere CityAlmere City227692237-1527
12Fortuna SittardSittard2376102339-1627
13Heerenveen2274113444-1025
14Heracles2364132953-2422
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior224993545-1021
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2353152040-2018
17FC VolendamVolendam2234152353-3013
18Vitesse2234151646-3013

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