Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.