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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 38.62% ( | 23.59% ( | 37.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.2% ( | 38.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.89% ( | 61.11% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( | 20.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% ( | 52.81% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( | 20.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( | 53.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.8% |