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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
| 25.69% ( | 22.8% ( | 51.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( | 62.89% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( | 28.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( | 64.84% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( | 15.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.96% ( | 45.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 3-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0-4 @ 2.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 1-5 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.51% |