Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for NEC had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.